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20,000 American Troops
Massing On Iraqi Border

By Michael Smith
The Daily Telegraph - London
12-20-1

More than 20,000 American troops have been moved into Qatar and Kuwait amid intense indications that Washington is preparing to move the war on terrorism into Iraq.
 
Defence sources last night confirmed the massing of troops near the Iraqi border and said the massive movement is at least designed to intimidate Saddam Hussein and at most a definite step towards directing the war on terror towards new targets.
 
The US moved its 3rd Army HQ to Qatar two weeks ago and defence analysts have reported large numbers of troops being moved into the region since. The 3rd Army is the ground component of Central Command, which oversees America's military operations in the Middle East and Afghanistan.
 
It was in charge of coalition forces during the Gulf War.
 
The Pentagon has publicly insisted it is merely rotating troops. But defence analysts say about 24,000 troops have been moved in, with barely a brigade around 4,000 moving out.
 
The Czech Republic inadvertently confirmed the build-up by saying up to 400 troops it has committed to the war might be sent to Kuwait.
 
The deployment of so many troops may be designed to intimidate Saddam Hussein. American officials admitted that a State Department team, led by Ryan Crocker, the deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern Affairs, was surreptitiously sent into northern Iraq recently to meet Kurdish leaders.
 
The visit was intended to make Baghdad jittery and to encourage the Kurdish leaders to unite to provide opposition to Saddam.
 
President Bush and his top advisers are said to have decided against launching an attack on Iraq and favour encouraging opposition forces to overthrow Saddam from within.
 
The presence of so many troops nearby would therefore be seen as support for opposition forces should they rise up like those in Afghanistan.
 
US Secretary of State Colin Powell is devising a long-term plan aimed at forcing Iraq to readmit UN weapons inspectors and co- operate with a set of economic sanctions. Officials say if the Iraqi leader refuses they do not rule out using military force.
 
Mr Powell's advisers and the CIA prefer the search for 'an Iraqi Gorbachev' an attempt to install a more amenable figure than Saddam drawn from within the Ba'ath apparatus.
 
Others, led by the Pentagon and by the National Security Adviser, Condoleezza Rice, think this will fail, getting rid of the tyrant, but not the institution of tyranny.
 
They prefer what they call the Afghan route - bombing in support of ground forces, many of whom are indigenous. The no- fly zones would be extended, a "no-drive" zone would also be enforced, and support for insurgents would come in from Turkey in the north, and from the south.
 
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan last night warned the US against expanding its war on terrorism to Iraq, saying it would further inflame Mideast tensions.
 
The other big concern is that Saddam Hussein has anthrax and could send a courier to a US city and release it, possibly killing thousands.
 
But some officials in Washington argue that a pre-emptive strike is the best way to deal with the possibility.
 
* The underground fires that have burned at the World Trade Centre site since September 11 were finally extinguished yesterday.
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