- There is an irresistibly intriguing rumor making the
rounds on Capitol Hill today. It is that the Pentagon and the CIA could
have nailed Osama bin Laden in Tora Bora last week, but let him escape
instead.
-
- Why would they do such a thing? A "Twofer
Payback"
is the answer.
-
- Let's draw up a list of prospective countries to where
OBL might run, places anarchic or insanely hubristic enough to provide
him on-the-lam shelter. There are five.
-
- Somalia. What better
justification,
what better opportunity, could there be to pay back the Somali savages
who killed 18 U.S. peacekeeping soldiers and dragged several of their
bodies
through the streets of Mogadishu in 1993, than if OBL escaped to Somalia?
There have got to be vast legions of folks in the U.S. military who are
right now praying, "If he got away, please let him get away to
Somalia."
-
- Iraq. GW is working overtime
to create a rationale for going after Saddam and getting our European
allies
behind it. If Saddam were fool enough to take OBL in, no more rationale
is needed. The BLU-82 Daisy Cutters and GBU-28 Bunker Busters start
dropping
tomorrow.
-
- Iran. While it seems
unlikely
the mullahs would help and hide OBL, his presence and the massive U.S.
military strike against it would immediately precipitate a national
uprising.
Iran is a desiccated tinderbox, ready at any moment to burst into flames
of revolutionary revenge against the mullahs. OBL's fleeing to Iran would
be the catalyst for conversion of Iran from theocratic tyranny to secular
pro-West democracy.
-
- Saudi Arabia. OBL's ultimate
fantasy is to become the Ayatollah Khomeini of Saudi Arabia. He has strong
support by the ultra-puritanical Wahabis, the Islamic sect that financially
sponsored the Taliban and are now dedicated to purging Mohammed's sacred
homeland of the corrupt Saudi royal family. The Wahabis providing
sanctuary
to Osama, and trying to instigate a civil war thereby, would give the Saudi
royals, backed by U.S. firepower, the excuse they need to wipe them out
for good.
-
- Pakistan. As anyone who
has traveled through the Pushtun area of Pakistan bordering Afghanistan
knows, the Pak government exercises diaphanously nominal control over it.
If a Pushtun tribe with more hubris than brains gives OBL sanctuary, it
is the pretext for the Pakistani military still dominated by Punjabis
who despise the Pushtuns with U.S. firepower to establish sovereignty
over their entire country and end the endemic anarchy.
-
- There is simply no way for Osama bin Laden to vanish
in obscurity. These five countries seem to be the only conceivable places
to where he might attempt escaping. There are quite beneficial
consequences
for the U.S. should he do so to any of the five. Thus the rumor. It may
be nothing more. The possibility of a Twofer Payback has, nonetheless,
a magnetic appeal.
-
- (c) 2001 Dr. Jack Wheeler and the Freedom Research
Foundation
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