- "On that day, when all the nations of the earth
will be gathered against her, I will make Jerusalem a rock too heavy for
any people to remove, and all who try to lift it shall injure themselves."(Zechariah
Chapter 12 verse 3) The summer of 2000 will be remembered for the failed
Jerusalem summit. This summit failure will have broad ranging global economic,
military and political effects. The "caviar and lobster" G-8
summit in Okinawa was a photo op. Camp David will decide whether we have
another MidEast War. We've already had an October War; we could have a
September one to go with it.
- My essay will look at how our modern world can be brought
to the brink of war over the fate of one city. The MidEast is the only
region of the world likely to trigger a global war in our lifetimes. Sure,
China can blockade Taiwan, or Pakistan and India can go at it. Bluntly,
no one will really care unless there is a nuclear exchange. It's only in
the MidEast that the mixture of politics, economics, religion and land
reach the critical mass needed to terrify the rest of the world. During
this American summer of SUV's and cheesy politics, America has forgotten
just how rapidly the MidEast can explode into crisis. On September 13th,
the day Yassar Arafat declares Palestinian statehood, we will get a refresher
course. Unless there is some sort of settlement at Camp David, the stage
is set for an armed conflict over Jerusalem's status. Any reasonable human
being must see what I see. However, not a hint of trouble in the lap dog
press coverage. The old "they're working on it" routine won't
cut it this time. Here's why...
- Yassar Arafat has no wiggle room on Jerusalem. If he
accepts anything less than officially recognized legal status and rule
over East Jerusalem, he will be executed upon his return to the MidEast.
The stakes are that high. Arafat's followers will accept nothing less.
His followers clearly intend to declare statehood and then to fight Israel
over Jerusalem. Summer camps in the West Bank and Gaza are training teenagers
how to use weapons during street battles. It's time to wake up from our
summer snooze and realize what the world faces in September.
- As for Barak, he's in no position to offer any concessions
at all. He barely survived a no confidence vote in the Knesset; his government
is weak; if he concedes legal control of East Jerusalem to Arafat, he will
probably be impeached or even be shot like Rabin was. Politics in the MidEast
reaches a level of intensity that we can't understand here in the United
States. People are more than ready to kill each other over Jerusalem. It's
about time we understood that. Arafat doesn't want the fig leaf of "administrative
control"; he needs East Jerusalem as his capital. Or else.
- Given these kinds of conditions, one wonders why the
child king even bothered to hold a Camp David summit at all. I suspect
the child king was genuinely afraid of what will happen in September and
didn't want to be blamed for not making every effort. Or maybe he was sniffing
around for his legacy. Whatever. We are now on the verge of a public collapse
in the Camp David talks. We are now on the verge of a public admission
that Yassar will declare statehood, declare Jerusalem as his capital and
then wait for the certain Israeli military response. At which point, we
get a global response. Maybe the 101st Airborne as Jerusalem Peace keepers
by Christmas for instance. Maybe the creation of a permanent United Nations
Army. Maybe the New World Order makes its move to pacify a terrified world.
We'll see. We'll give the acid test for whether gold responds to a world
political crisis or not. There is nothing like a MidEast crisis to see
for sure whether gold prices still respond to political tension or not.
Less than 60 days.
- The job of State Department spokesmen is to make statements
like, "Barak and Arafat are aware of the seriousness of the situation",
"The process on Jerusalem is very difficult." etc. etc. etc.
It's for people like me to draw the obvious conclusions. First, the whole
Camp David Summit was a last ditch, desperation move to avoid disaster
in September. Second, the publicly stated positions of Mr. Barak and Mr.
Arafat are so far apart and so subject to internal politics, that they
are wasting their time. Third, everyone involved knows this. Fourth, any
admission of this knowledge would cause instant economic and political
chaos. So, the players will continue playing right up until September 13th.
And then they will point fingers when the inevitable violence erupts. Mr.
Arafat may then plead for the UN to guarantee his state and crush Israel.
A shrewd move, but a dangerous one.
- You don't have to be a rocket scientist to figure out
the odds of violent confrontations between armed Israeli soldiers and armed
Palestinian police are high. Throw in mobs of enraged youths, Islamic fundamentalists
like Hamas, enraged Jewish settlers- well you get the idea. A lot of enraged
people in a relatively small area. Did I mention they all have weapons
- OK, you're saying, who cares? You will, when the television
news fills with day after day of mob violence throughout Israel. You will,
when the Arab world explodes into a new spasm of anti western hatred. You
will, when the crisis expands to drag in the entire world. The world simply
cannot tolerate sustained violence in the MidEast. If it can't be contained
by Israel or the PLO, then the United Nations will be forced to get involved.
The UN will be responding to a global fear of a more widespread MidEast
war. If things get too far out of control, then Jerusalem's status will
force direct military intervention by the rest of the world.
- Of course, this perfectly logical action will highlight
certain predictions in Christian prophecy.
- Predictions about a superimposed peace upon Israel and
the guaranteed status of Jerusalem I might add. The exact kind of political
scenario that is increasing in attractiveness to our desperate world leaders
right now. All of which has profound economic, political and military implications,
apart from our current Jerusalem crisis. I know I'm giving you a lot of
profound military, economic and political implications to think about during
summer, but gold-eagle.com exists to give its readers a heads up before
the crisis hits. An investment in gold, at $280 in July, could bring a
very good return during a September MidEast crisis-assuming we don't blow
up the world of course.
- What we are seeing here in the waning days of summer
Y2K is the birthing of the global New World Order. The precise conditions
are being created that allow, even demand, a global response to preserve
MidEast peace. Do not be deceived gold-eagle readers, assuming there is
a violent confrontation in Jerusalem, the global response might be stronger
and faster than any of us imagine. There very well could be United Nations/United
States troops deployed in Jerusalem before year's end. Perhaps the chaos
will be used to convince the world of the need for a strong global government.
The world will gladly accept this, if the alternative is continuous warfare
between Jews and Arabs. At least this is one possible scenario to my somewhat
diseased mind. The other is some sort of agreement is bribed, er hammered
out, and the game goes on for a while longer. Time is running out and the
common people on the ground are losing patience. My gut tells me there
will be an explosion of anger, but they might be able to patch the MidEast
together for a while longer.
- Many gold eagle pundits are telling us gold's price may
explode this fall. It's entirely possible that September events in Jerusalem
will have something to do with that. If Jerusalem explodes, and people
start buying gold in earnest, just where will the physical gold come from
to meet demand Mr. GreenSpan?
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