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North Korea May
Test-Fire Missiles Over Japan

CNN.com
2-11-3

TOKYO, Japan -- Washington's ambassador to Tokyo has warned of a possible North Korean missile test over Japan as part of Pyongyang's bid to ratchet up tension over its nuclear program.
 
Citing unnamed sources, U.S. Ambassador Howard Baker said it appears the North Korean provocation was "not over."
 
"We hear reports that they may engage in a missile test, perhaps overflying the island of Japan," Baker said Monday.
 
However, he said it was unclear what plan the U.S. or Japan had to counter the test or what reaction they would take.
 
"As to what specific plan would be put into effect if there's an imminent missile threat against Japan, I simply do not know," Baker said.
 
North Korea shocked Japan and alarmed the world in 1998 when it tested a Taepodong missile which flew over Japan's main island.
 
Following that test, Pyongyang declared a self-imposed moratorium on further launches. But last year, as a dispute with the U.S. over North Korea's nuclear program blew up, Pyongyang indicated that the ban might be lifted.
 
North Korean threat
 
Tensions have mounted on the Korean Peninsula since last October when the U.S. said North Korea admitted to secretly pursuing a nuclear weapons program in violation of a 1994 deal.
 
Pyongyang responded by backing out of a nuclear non-proliliferation treaty earlier this year, kicking out U.N. nuclear monitors and restarting its mothballed nuclear power plants in a move it says will compensate for an energy shortfall.
 
Now, with the crisis showing no sign of easing, Tokyo is becoming increasingly nervous about the threat North Korea poses.
 
"Almost all of major cities of Japan are within the range of North Korean Nodong missile. So now North Korea can attack Japan with chemical warheads and Nodong missiles," Hideshi Takesada from Japan's National Institute for Defense Studies said.
 
"Already they have 5,000 tons of chemical warheads."
 
Those fears have led the Japanese government to draw up contingency plans on how to deal with a possible North Korean missile launch.
 
A report in Japan's Yomiuri Shimbuin newspaper on Sunday said Tokyo would mobilize its forces following a launch if there were signs other launches would follow.
 
Under the plan, U.S. satellites would monitor North Korean missile bases. Any signs of a possible launch would prompt Tokyo to demand Pyongyang call it off. (<http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/02/09/nkorea.japan.reut/index.html>Full story)
 
Baker said that the U.S. and Japan would likely share information on any North Korean test, but declined to elaborate.
 
Any strike on Japan not only threatens the world's second largest economy but also endangers 47,000 U.S. military personnel based there.
 
Despite a series of international diplomatic efforts, North Korea has consistently demanded face-to-face talks with Washington to resolve the crisis.
 
However more diplomacy is underway, with the European Union preparing for a possible mission to North Korea.
 
EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana met Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi on Monday ahead of a visit to Seoul and, possibly, Pyongyang.
 
Solana plans to hold talks with leaders there and discuss ways to defuse the nuclear impasse.
 
Solana said his mission to North Korea depended on the outcome of an emergency meeting of the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog agency this week.
 
The International Atomic Energy Agency will hold a board meeting on Wednesday to decide whether to refer the North Korea issue to the U.N. Security Council.
 
Should that happen, the Security Council may impose sanctions on North Korea in an attempt to persuade Pyongyang to drop its nuclear plans -- North Korea says such a move would amount to a declaration of war.
 
http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/02/10/nkorea.japan/index.html


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