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Moscow Sticks By Its
Opposition To A War

By Catherine Belton and Simon Saradzhyan
Moscow Times Staff Writers
3-18-3

Even as the United States withdrew the resolution from the UN, taking away from Russia the risky burden of a vote, Moscow continued to press for a peaceful resolution Monday and called U.S. plans for military action illegal and a mistake.
 
President Vladimir Putin broke more than two weeks of public silence on the issue earlier Monday, saying war in Iraq would be a mistake that threatened global security. Then, after the U.S. announcement, Putin spoke with French President Jacques Chirac by telephone to once again stress the need for a peaceful resolution to the crisis, the Kremlin press service said.
 
"We are in favor of solving the problem exclusively by peaceful means," Putin said in televised remarks before the U.S. decision.
 
"Any other development would be a mistake fraught with the toughest consequences, leading to victims and the destabilization of the international situation as a whole," Putin said in a speech to Chechen leaders.
 
Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov slammed the U.S. decision as running counter to international law.
 
"We believe the use of force against Iraq, especially with reference to previous resolutions of the UN Security Council, has no grounds, including legal grounds," Ivanov was quoted by Interfax as saying.
 
The United States has argued that existing resolutions dating from 1991 give it a legal mandate to use force to disarm Saddam Hussein. But Ivanov said Monday that UN Resolution 1441, which was passed in November, contains a clause requiring members of the Security Council to gather immediately to ensure Iraq complies with demands to disarm.
 
"Resolution 1441, to which so many references are made, does not give anyone the right to use force automatically," he said.
 
An emergency session of foreign ministers has been scheduled for Wednesday, and Russia's ambassador to the UN, Sergei Lavrov, said that chances of finding a political solution were not "dead" yet, Interfax reported.
 
However, it appeared unlikely that the United States would be swayed off its course for war. Instead, analysts said, the U.S. decision to withdraw the resolution means Moscow no longer has to risk open confrontation with Washington by going head to head in a UN vote.
 
This has allowed Russia to save face by not having to risk antagonizing the United States over a veto, or France and Germany over an abstention.
 
"This would have been a very difficult choice," said Alexander Pikayev of the Moscow Carnegie Center.
 
"Nobody wanted to openly argue with each other," said Ivan Safranchuk, director of the Moscow office of the Center for Defense Information. "Now we are in a situation that is mutually acceptable for the U.S. and Russia. Russia can maintain a stance of negative neutrality, and the U.S. can go ahead."
 
One of the reasons that Washington didn't push for a resolution was that the Bush administration didn't want "to put Russian into a corner," said John Reppert, executive director for research at Harvard University's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.
 
Reppert said he believed that President George W. Bush and Putin had reached a tacit agreement to that effect during their recent telephone conversations, in which Putin "was far less adamant" than his foreign minister, Ivanov.
 
He said he did not expect Russia's verbal opposition to war -- as expressed by Ivanov -- to have any substantial negative impact on U.S.-Russian relations.
 
Independent State Duma Deputy Vladimir Ryzhkov called the U.S. decision a "risky move" that created a "very dangerous precedent allowing the U.S. to launch military attacks without the clear sanction of the UN.
 
"The first time this happened was over Kosovo, but then they said it was the last time. Now it's happening all over again. This is extremely dangerous," Ryzhkov said in a telephone interview.


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