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What's Become Of Saddam?

By Emma Batha
3-23-3

LONDON (Reuters) - With Saddam Hussein not seen in public since the start of the war on Iraq, speculation is rife about his fate. Some say he is dead, others that he is so badly wounded he had to receive a blood transfusion.
 
They laugh that sort of thing off in Baghdad and nothing in the Iraqi capital suggests the president is not still in charge.
 
But not since U.S.-led forces tried to kill the al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan in 2001, has there been such rampant speculation in the international media on the whereabouts of one man.
 
One report talked of the Iraqi leader being stretchered into an ambulance after Thursday's surprise dawn cruise missile strike on his Baghdad bunker. Another described him lying on a hospital trolley with an oxygen mask.
 
Within three hours of the attack, Saddam popped up on television apparently to confirm he had survived. But U.S. officials said the tape could have been pre-recorded.
 
Bin Laden also produced videotapes after reports he had been killed in U.S. bombing.
 
Thursday's attack on Saddam's bunker was intended to kill him, and so end the war almost before it had begun.
 
Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld told CNN on Sunday he was sure there were Iraqi leaders in the compound when it was hit. But asked if he believed Saddam was still alive Rumsfeld replied: "We have to assume he is."
 
One British paper said intelligence chiefs had told Britain's war cabinet that Saddam was so badly injured he needed a blood transfusion after the strike, which they said may have killed his son, Uday.
 
British Prime Minister Tony Blair's office dismissed the Sunday Telegraph report, but a Foreign Office minister later said British intelligence suggested Saddam had been wounded and left the area in an ambulance.
 
Fox News said the U.S. government had photographs showing panicked digging at the site of the strike and of Saddam being placed on a stretcher and into an ambulance.
 
"We are sure it was someone of great importance because of the intense security and care he was getting," Britain's Mail on Sunday quoted a CIA source as saying.
 
It also said U.S. officials had intercepted calls summoning Saddam's doctors to the bunker, immediately after the attack.
 
Another British tabloid said Saddam was spotted lying on a hospital trolley with an oxygen mask covering his face.
 
It said the CIA had a sample of Saddam's DNA so they could confirm whether it was the Iraqi leader or one of his doubles if a body was found.
 
Not long after the attack a tired-looking Saddam appeared on television, in a military uniform, urging his people to fight.
 
Although the Iraqi leader has a handful of lookalikes who might have made a speech, voice experts say it was Saddam. But the CIA says it could have been pre-recorded -- even though he referred in the address to the start of the raid at dawn.
 
Several British papers reported that Saddam had pre-recorded hours of video messages to be broadcast during the war to convince everyone he was alive.
 
However, Con Coughlin, author of "Saddam: The Secret Life," suggested the tape was authentic. He said the Iraqi leader was notoriously vain and would not allow himself to appear on television looking so rough, except to show he was still alive.
 
Iraqi Vice President Taha Yassin Ramadan, making his first public appearance on Sunday, told a news conference that Saddam would address the Iraqi people from time to time.
 
Iraqi television has also shown footage of the president holding several meetings with top aides, including his younger son Qusay, widely tipped to be his successor.
 
Pictures broadcast on Sunday showed a smiling Saddam presiding over a meeting with military officials. There was nothing to pinpoint when any of this footage was filmed but there is also nothing in Baghdad to suggest it is not genuine.
 
One U.S. intelligence official was quoted as saying the chances Saddam had been killed in his bunker were 50:50, but the problem was getting independent corroboration.
 
That corroboration will be difficult until U.S. troops can inspect the site themselves -- and that seems unlikely for some time.
 
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