- Hello Jeff - I believe, and have stated over the past
week or so, that SARS will probably mutate into a harmless form or exhibit
symptoms similar to that of a cold.
-
- Of course, the EXPERTS are all "scratching"
their heads on this one, i.e. the fact that SARS cases in the US have not
been as severe as elsewhere in the world. The US is one of the latest
"comers" to the SARS outbreak.
-
- If I am correct, and SARS is caused by a manmade pathogen,
we can expect to see it mutate extremely rapidly. I also believe that
the Chinese were actually "playing" with the coronavirus/paramyxovirus
and whatever else is in the genetic makeup of the virus. I believe that
they were in the initial stage of a "chimeravirus" program.
I think that this was the reason they chose a coronavirus. Large genome
makes research easier. I think they also chose the paramyxoviruses for
the purpose of learning how to combine and maintain infectivity and severity
of symptoms and possibly to enable the virus to jump species barrier.
-
- We know that coronaviruses RARELY jump species barrier.
We identified animal coronaviruses only. i.e. viruses similar to mouse,
bovine and avian coronavirus. There again, only similar and not the actual
mouse, bovine and avian viruses. No human. The paramyxoviruses chosen
were HUMAN and targeted at causing pneumonia. I would not be surprised
if the intent was to develop a chimera and then infect prisoners with it
and monitor spread and morbidity among the prisoners. Then, bury them,
end of project thus retiring the pathogen that causes SARS with no one
the wiser. What is it they say about the best laid plans of man?
-
- Probably a lab worker took ill, or a nonprisoner and
the rest, as they say, is history. A sick lab worker goes to hospital
not knowing it is SARS and infects hospital staff, then doctor goes to
Hong Kong takes ill, etc etc.
-
- So, my best guess is that, because we have a chimeravirus,
lab developed, and probably for the purpose of learning, the virus could
be extremely unstable. I think that the choice of a coronavirus, shows
that "they" were using it for a learning experience and not a
bioweapon. The bioweapon would come later, with different virus family
recombination, and after sufficient testing. Of course, I can not be sure,
and I am not sure. I can only look at the virus chosen etc etc. Coronaviruses
have the largest genome of all viruses and would be easier to use to learn
about the chimera process.
-
- Over the past few weeks, we look at the cases of SARS
around the world and begin to notice that it is not as deadly as it was
in Guangdong Province, Hong Kong etc. It now is less severe then Toronto.
-
- The CDC will tell us that it is the quality US health
care that is keeping morbidity down. Also, the well nourished population
in the US, etc, etc. I don't think that CDC will theorize on an experimental
chimeravirus developed and then escaping a Chinese lab. That would be very
much politically incorrect. Bioweapons are quite unstable. Some have
been programmed to make the agent a bit more stable. The fact of the matter
is, that, especially in the case of chimeraviruses, we do not know how
they will act in the environment. We know that the Russians developed Smallpox
combined with Ebola, ergo Ebolapox, also VEEpox. We don't know how it would
act in the environment. All we have is theory on paper. No previous human
experience. I think that since SARS agent was not even intended for a
bioweapon, its programming is such that it will be extremely unstable.
My thought is that it will mutate harmless and probably, the most severe
symptoms will ultimately be that of a cold.
-
- If the CDC were to admit that the virus is "unraveling"
and becoming less infective and/or less severe, than we have scientists
coming foward with a theory that SARS could be a manmade pathogen.
-
- What really worries me, is the fact that SARS appears
to be a chimeravirus. The worry is that China may now have a Chimeravirus
Program, in similar fashion to that of the former Soviet Union. It is
also possible that some of the Soviet scientists had joined the Chinese
bioweapons team. They obviously have the expertise to create Ebolapox,
VEEpox etc and teaching this chimera method to the Chinese could be extremely
dangerous for the world. Also of worry is the fact that NO ONE (in the
who's who of science) is bringing up the possibility that the SARS agent
is manmade. It seems like there is a gag order in progress when it comes
to the origin of SARS. The ostrich syndrome will only allow for China to
move foward with chimeravirus technology.
-
- I do stress that the above is theory, my theory. I must
also say that as we move foward through the SARS outbreak we start to find
more puzzle pieces, that indicate SARS is a manmade virus. Could the fact
that SARS is unstable and mutating either, to cold symptoms, or, to harmless
be one more "dot" to connect with regard to the origin of the
SARS outbreak?
-
- I am taking everything into consideration, from the size
of the genome, (ease of manipulating viral material) to the viruses that
are recombinent, (coronavirus, paramyxovirus yet, re coronaviruses not
matching any known to human and animal with some genetic material still
unidentified) to adding paramyxoviruses for infectivity, jumping species
barrier and severity of symptoms, to the present, the unstableness of the
virus and I am trying to connecting all dots. Where does a bacteria fit
the puzzle? There is evidence that an aerosolized form of Chlamydia (probably
pneumonae) had infected some of the Chinese cases.
-
- We may have sequenced the genome of the agent that causes
SARS, but we have not completed identification of all genetic material
within the virus genome, or found why it jumped species barrier, why it
recombined with animal coronaviruses and human paramyxoviruses, why it
does not act like ANY human or animal virus known to man. In short, we
have not even found the origin of the virus. The mystery remains.
-
- Again, I think that we shall see an unstable virus that
will either mutate virulent or muate harmless with lower infectivity rate,
lower mortality rate. It may be evidenced with symptoms no more than the
common cold. I am hoping that it will mutate harmless, and it does appear
that will be the case. My best guess is the reason we are starting to
see less cases with lower mortality/morbidity rate, is because the virus
is manmade.
-
- Thank you
- Patricia Doyle
-
-
- Patricia A. Doyle, PhD
- Please visit my "Emerging Diseases" message
board at:
- http://www.clickitnews.com/emergingdiseases/index.shtml
- Zhan le Devlesa tai sastimasa
- Go with God and in Good Health
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