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Bush Proposes Budget
Boxed In By Deficits

By Adam Entous and Caren Bohan
2-2-4



"Homeland security and the military will be the budget's biggest winners with rises of nearly 10 percent and 7 percent respectively."
 
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- Facing a record $521 billion deficit, President Bush proposed a $2.4 trillion election-year budget on Monday that will cut dozens of domestic programs and set deficit-reduction goals that even fellow Republicans are skeptical he can meet.
 
Bush has overseen a dramatic worsening of the budget picture after inheriting a record surplus. He hopes to improve his fiscal image before the November election by promising to reduce the deficit by a third next year and in half by 2007.
 
The White House still expects the shortfall to total $1.35 trillion through 2009, and for government debt to rise from $8.1 trillion to $10.5 trillion.
 
"The government must exercise fiscal responsibility by limiting spending growth, focusing on the results of government programs, and cutting wasteful spending," Bush said.
 
But fiscal conservatives in both parties doubt Bush can deliver on his deficit reduction promises.
 
His fiscal 2005 budget left out the tens of billions sure to be needed next year to keep U.S. troops in Iraq and omitted a fix for provisions in the tax code that will put a big burden on many middle-class households.
 
Homeland security and the military will be the budget's biggest winners with rises of nearly 10 percent and 7 percent respectively.
 
Defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Boeing Co., Northrop Grumman Corp.,, Raytheon Co. and General Dynamics Corp. stand to benefit as Bush's $401.7 billion military budget increases spending on missile defense and on modernizing the Army.
 
Hardest hit were the departments of Agriculture and Transportation, the Environmental Protection Agency, the Small Business Administration, and the Corps of Engineers, with cuts ranging from 1 percent for the Commerce Department to as much as 49 percent for the General Services Administration.
 
To placate conservatives threatening a revolt, growth of discretionary spending -- outside of homeland security and defense -- would be capped at 0.5 percent. Because that is well below the inflation rate, it amounts to a cut in domestic programs and the lowest growth since 1993.
 
In a tacit acknowledgment that deficits are here to stay, Bush set the goal of bringing this year's record $521 billion shortfall down to $364 billion in fiscal 2005, to $241 billion in 2007 and then to $237 billion in 2009. There is no talk of surpluses in the foreseeable future.
 
ELECTION-YEAR FIGHT
 
Already members of both parties are bracing for a bitter fight, and many question whether any budget deal can be reached.
 
Democrats scoffed at Bush's plan to stem the red ink while asking Congress to make permanent his tax cuts. "It's the most anti-family, anti-worker, anti-health care, anti-education budget in modern times, and it doesn't deserve to pass," said Sen. Edward Kennedy, a Massachusetts Democrat.
 
Fiscal conservatives accused the White House of relying on gimmicks, like stretching the definition of homeland security to sidestep its own spending limits.
 
Keeping troops in Iraq and Afghanistan could bloat the deficit by at least $40 billion in 2005 alone.
 
Even a spending freeze in areas targeted by Bush would cut the deficit by just $3 billion, according to some Republicans.
 
Conservatives want much deeper cuts after the White House acknowledged its prescription drug plan would cost one-third more than initially advertised. Spending under Bush has grown at the fastest pace since the Johnson administration of the mid-1960s, they complain.
 
"He's got to get really serious about budget control and really defend and enforce this budget if he's going to hold conservatives with him in the November elections," said Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth, a politically powerful conservative group.
 
While homeland security and military spending will rise, more than 65 government programs will be cut.
 
Some tax breaks favored by Republicans will also be reined in, including some for energy production and business investment.
 
Bush will delay budget-busting reform of the alternative minimum tax, which requires a growing number of middle-income taxpayers to calculate their taxes in two ways and pay the higher bill.
 
Instead, Bush will propose a one-year extension of the AMT provisions. As with Iraq, he has decided to push back the day of reckoning until after the election.
 
Copyright © 2003 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.
 
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=NKZRUV5TTOTB
KCRBAEZSFEY?type=businessNews&storyID=4263242

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