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Pixar Dumps Disney
Might Find New Partners In Time Warner, Fox

By Dwight Oestricher
Dow Jones Newswires
1-29-4



NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Pixar on Thursday ended discussions with Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS - News) about continuing their partnership, and now it can work out a lucrative deal with a new movie studio.
 
Time Warner Inc. (NYSE:TWX - News) , riding high with the hit "The Lord of the Rings" films from its New Line subsidiary, and Fox Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE:FOX - News) would be likely new partners based on their domestic and international film-distribution strengths, analysts said.
 
 
"After 10 months of trying to strike a deal with Disney, we're moving on," said Pixar Chief Executive Steve Jobs (news - web sites) in a press release Thursday. He said last year that once talks were over with Disney they wouldn't be revived and Pixar would seek a deal with another movie studio.
 
 
Disney Chief Financial Officer Tom Staggs said in a release that Disney's management couldn't accept Pixar's final offer because it "would have cost Disney hundreds of million of dollars it already is entitled to under the existing agreement."
 
 
Pixar and Disney were co-producers of such films as "Toy Story" and its sequel, "Toy Story 2." They also co-produced "Monsters Inc." and "A Bug's Life," and most recently "Finding Nemo," which was a large contributor to third-quarter results for Pixar with a box-office gross of $424 million for that period. Disney said in November that it sold 20 million home video units of the film in the first 14 days of its release.
 
 
Pixar has two more films left under its deal with Disney - " The Incredibles" this year and "Cars" in 2005 - and it has started work on a movie for tentative release in 2006.
 
 
When the two started their relationship back in 1995, Pixar needed a co- production partner with a strong brand name and distribution power. But now Pixar is profitable enough to bankroll its own movies and successful enough that it can wrangle a distribution deal from a movie studio, according to Federated Investors analyst Angela Kohler, whose firm holds about 2 million Disney shares.
 
 
The two companies share production costs and profits under the current deal, with Disney distributing the films, recouping marketing costs and retaining sequel rights to the movies. Disney also has the rights to make theme-park attractions, toys and other consumer products based on the films.
 
 
Pixar has said that it was looking for a deal that would give Disney a distribution fee - analysts suggested that it was 10% to 20% - with Pixar retaining all rights to the films.
 
 
If Pixar should strike a distribution deal with Time Warner, that giant entertainment company might try to strike a deal with Disney to buy the two movies left under the deal, Kohler said.
 
 
"Time Warner has the cash to pull it off after reducing their debt by about $ 20 million last year," Kohler said. She added that Time Warner might also try to negotiate for the sequel and other rights that Disney holds to the films.
 
 
Like Disney, Warner Bros. Pictures has a worldwide brand, a family-friendly image and tremendous film prowess, said Fulcrum Global Partners analyst Richard Greenfield. And after all the troubles it has had with its ailing America Online unit, gaining Pixar would be a feather in Time Warner's hat.
 
 
"Gaining Pixar would be psychologically positive for Time Warner," Greenfield said.
 
 
However, losing Pixar will probably weigh heavy on the minds of Disney shareholders. The financial impact is a couple of years away, since Pixar does owe two more movies, said analyst Paul Kim of Tradition Asiel Securities Inc. He added that Disney has its own computer-animated film, "Chicken Little," set for 2005 release.
 
 
While Disney might have the technology to make a computer-animated film, it doesn't have the staff of Pixar, which includes Academy Award-winning director John Lasseter, the creative head of Pixar, analysts said.
 
 
Warner Bros. Pictures has had informal meeting with Pixar management, but not formal talks or negotiations, said spokeswoman Barbara Brogliatti.
 
"We would love to be in business with Pixar," she said, declining to discuss what kind of deal might be reached.
 
Kim doesn't cover Pixar and has a sell rating on Disney and a hold on Time Warner. He doesn't own shares of the companies and Tradition Asiel Securities Inc. doesn't have an investment-banking relationship with the companies.
 
Greenfield doesn't cover Pixar; he has a sell rating on Disney and a buy rating on Time Warner. He doesn't own the shares and Fulcrum doesn't have an investment-banking relationship with the companies.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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