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UK Personal Bankruptcies
Soar As Consumer Debt Rises
By Katherine Griffiths
Banking Correspondent
The Independent - UK
2-6-4


More than 100 people went bust every day in the three months to the end of December, pushing personal bankruptcies to their highest level in nearly 11 years and raising fresh concern about the scale of consumer debt.
 
The Department of Trade and Industry said personal bankruptcies rose to 10,271 in the fourth quarter, up 12 per cent on the previous three months. Compared with a year ago, the figure surged by nearly one third.
 
The figures will be particularly alarming as individuals will find it even harder to repay their debts because of the Bank of England's decision this week to increase the cost of borrowing. Interest rates rose a quarter point to 4 per cent and, many economists feel, rates could increase again. John Butler, the UK economist at HSBC, said: "This is just the tip of the iceberg. The news for the consumer is getting worse."
 
Charles Turner, the director of business recovery at PricewaterhouseCoopers, said: "We are looking at record levels of bankruptcy. It is reasonable to say a credit crunch is upon us. The interest rate increase was not huge, but the direction was upwards and, for a significant number of people struggling to cope with their level of debt, the impact could be severe."
 
The number of people declaring bankruptcy between October and December was the highest since the record 10,942 bankruptcies seen in the first quarter of 1993. That was when Britain was just emerging from the slump that left millions of households trapped in negative equity after house prices collapsed.
 
However, Capital Economics, an independent economic consultancy, suggestedthe level could actually be at its highest since 1960. The body said if the 1993 figures were seasonally adjusted, it would work out as lower than the number recorded for the fourth quarter of 2003.
 
There was better news for the corporate sector, with the number of companies going into liquidation in the fourth quarter falling to 3,316, 1.9 per cent down on the previous three months.
 
PwC said companies had benefited from Britons' continued spending. Mike Jervis, a partner at PwC, said: "We have seen real winners and losers. Increased consumer spending is filtering through to businesses with a significant fall in company failures."
 
However, the benefit to business is unlikely to offset fears that British consumers are running out of steam. On top of their massive burden of debt has come evidence that house prices seem to be spiralling ever higher.
 
Halifax, Britain's largest mortgage lender, said on Thursday the average homebuyer now has to pay more than five times their annual earnings - a ratio that is even higher than during the last boom in the late 1980s, which ended in a devastating slump.
 
Vincent Cable, the Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman, called on the Government earlier this week to address the problem by introducing regulations to curb the "tidal waves" of offers of credit to consumers. Dr Cable warned if consumers were allowed to borrow at current rates, their total burden of debt could hit £1,000bn by the summer - equivalent to the external debt of Africa, Asia and Latin America combined.
 
Britain's bankruptcy laws change from 1 April under the new Enterprise Act. Experts believe the legislation will be softer on those who go bust through no fault of their own, allowing them to come out of bankruptcy earlier than the current three-year period. However, those deemed to have recklessly run up debt could see themselves barred from having access to credit for up to 15 years.
 
© 2004 Independent Digital (UK) Ltd
 
http://news.independent.co.uk/business/news/story.jsp?story=488753

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