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Oil Surges To A Record,
Breaching $53

10-8-4
 
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil in New York rose to a record $53.31 a barrel after the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port shut for a third time in a month as refiners struggle to boost supplies that were depleted by Hurricane Ivan.
 
The port closed at about 5 a.m. New York time because of a storm, an official at the facility said. The terminal, located about 20 miles off the Louisiana coast, handles about 1 million barrels of crude oil a day, 10 percent of U.S. imports. Oil fell earlier after a union said it won't try to shut Nigeria's oil industry if it joins a national strike next week.
 
"We can't afford to lose one drop of oil right now because supply and demand are so tight," said Michael Fitzpatrick, vice president of energy risk management with Fimat USA in New York. "The closing of the LOOP just adds to a big basket of woes that is getting heavier by the day."
 
Crude oil for November delivery rose 64 cents, or 1.2 percent, to close at $53.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil reached $53.40, the highest intraday price since futures began trading in 1983. Prices rose 6.4 percent this week and were up 79 percent from a year ago. Futures have risen in 15 of the last 17 sessions and for the last four weeks.
 
In London, the November Brent crude-oil futures contract rose 81 cents, or 1.7 percent, to close at a record $49.71 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange. Prices reached $49.75, the highest intraday price since the contract began trading in 1988.
 
The port was closed from Sept. 13 to Sept. 18 and from Sept. 22 to Sept. 23 because of Hurricane Ivan, said Mark Bugg, scheduling manager at New Orleans-based Loop LLC, the operator. Bugg said earlier this week that it would take until the end of October to work through the hurricane-related tanker-unloading delays.
 
An area of low pressure in the Gulf may grow into a tropical depression, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
 
Recovery Delay
 
"The storm will keep the LOOP shut for a couple of days and delay the resumption of production in the Gulf," said Marshall Steeves, an energy analyst with Refco Group Inc. in New York.
 
Daily oil output at platforms in the Gulf was down by 475,176 barrels, or 28 percent, from the 1.7 million barrels a day produced before the storm, according to a report from the Minerals Management Service, part of the U.S. Interior Department. Ivan has reduced production by a total of 17 million barrels since Sept. 13.
 
"Weather has been the big story," said Michael Lewis, head of commodities research for Deutsche Bank AG in London. "The only chance for relief would be if you get mild weather in the U.S. during November and December, which would take the froth off the current price."
 
'The One Headwind'
 
General Electric Co., the world's largest company by market value, said third-quarter profit rose 11 percent as acquisitions and economic development spurred sales growth. Rising raw material prices are "the one headwind" the company is concerned about, said Chief Executive Jeff Immelt in a call with investors.
 
Benzene, a chemical derived from oil that is used to make plastic, has almost tripled from the year-ago quarter. Still, rising demand and an ability to raise product prices in several industrial businesses has helped, Immelt said.
 
"We're not counting on any break in benzene," Immelt said. "The one piece of inflation that's going to last into 2005 is going to be around oil."
 
The company narrowed its 2004 profit forecast to $1.57 to $1.60 a share. Immelt had previously forecast $1.55 to $1.60. The company is expected to earn $1.58, the average forecast from Thomson Financial.
 
'Serious Situation'
 
"We are one event away from a more serious situation," said Daniel Yergin, chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, at a U.S.-Russia investment conference in Washington. "I think there is a growing recognition of the potential economic effects of a market that gets away from everybody."
 
Crude oil in New York may rise next week because of concern that demand is exceeding supply, according to a Bloomberg News survey of traders and analysts. Thirty-three of 45 traders and analysts, or 73 percent, predicted an increase in New York oil futures next week, the biggest margin in favor of a gain in the six months the survey has run.
 
Heating oil for November delivery rose 2.31 cents, or 1.6 percent, to close at a record $1.454 a gallon in New York. Heating oil reached $1.459, the highest intraday price since the contract was introduced in 1978.
 
Nigeria Strike
 
The Nigeria Labour Congress, the nation's biggest union, has called for a strike to begin midnight Sunday. While the white- collar Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria isn't a member of the congress, it may join the strike.
 
"If the strike goes ahead on Monday, most of our members will stay at home, but we are not going to shut down oil production," said the association's Deputy Secretary General, Lumumba Okugbawa. "Our members on the oil facilities will keep operations running."
 
A separate walkout, now in its second day at the Royal Dutch/Shell Group venture in Nigeria, hasn't affected oil exports, Shell spokesman Andy Corrigan said in London.
 
©2004 Bloomberg L.P. All rights reserved. http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087
&sid=aqLll_x2O_OU&refer=top_world_news
 

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