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Budget Gap Swells To
Record $413 Billion

10-15-4
 
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. budget gap expanded to $412.55 billion in fiscal 2004, marking the Bush administration's second-straight record deficit, the Treasury Department said on Thursday.
 
Though the final 2004 figure was the largest budget deficit in U.S. history, it was smaller than the White House's most recent forecast of a $445 billion shortfall given in July and well below the $521 billion it foresaw early this year.
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The bipartisan Congressional Budget Office had expected a $415 billion gap in fiscal 2004, which ended Sept. 30.
 
Thursday's budget announcement came the day after the third and final debate before the Nov. 2 election, where President Bush and Sen. John Kerry squared off on domestic issues, including the budget.
 
Treasury also invoked stop-gap accounting measures on Thursday to avoid piercing the congressionally mandated $7.384 trillion debt ceiling, which needs to be raised for the third time in three years.
 
The government is just $4 billion below the legal borrowing limit as of Wednesday, according to the latest data.
 
Congress adjourned three days ago for an election break without raising the politically sensitive limit. They are expected to address the issue when they return on Nov. 16.
 
Democrats used the budget and debt limit announcements to criticize their political opponents' fiscal record in the run-up to the Nov. 2 presidential election.
 
``Republicans control the House, the Senate and the White House but today's release proves once again they have failed to control the budget every year on their watch,'' said South Carolina Rep. John Spratt, the top Democrat on the house budget committee.
 
Josh Bolten, head of the White House Office of Management and Budget, said while the 2004 deficit was ``unwelcome,'' the improvement from earlier forecasts was ``a clear reflection of our strengthening economy and improving fiscal performance.''
 
Some analysts suggested the White House may have inflated its early budget projections.
 
``OMB from one administration to the next, year in and year out, puts out pessimistic estimates in August and, with very few exceptions, they beat them,'' said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP in New York.
 
Treasury also revised up the previous year's budget deficit to $377.14 billion from a most recent estimate of $374.27 billion. The fiscal 2003 shortfall was originally reported as a $374.22 billion deficit, which was then a record.
 
As a percentage of the economy, the yardstick most used by analysts, the fiscal 2004 deficit totaled 3.6 percent of gross domestic product -- the largest since 1993, when it was 3.9 percent.
 
The 2003 deficit made up 3.5 percent of GDP after the revisions, Treasury said.
 
Kerry has accused Bush of fiscal recklessness, faulting him for turning the budget surpluses he inherited into big budget deficits through huge tax cuts, which Kerry says are skewed toward the wealthy.
 
``The fact is that the president is driving the largest deficits in American history. He's broken the pay-as-you-go rules,'' the senator said at the Wednesday night debate.
 
Bush countered that his tax cuts were key to reviving the economy and he warned Kerry's proposals on such issues as health care would bloat government spending.
 
``People need to remember: Six months prior to my arrival, the stock market started to go down. And it was one of the largest declines in our history. And then we had a recession and we got attacked, which cost us 1 million jobs,'' Bush said.
 
Both Bush and Kerry have pledged to cut the deficit in half in five years.
 
 

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