- WASHINGTON -- An analysis
of data not yet published by the Census Bureau shows that the nation's
immigrant population (legal and illegal) reached a new record of more than
34 million in March of 2004, an increase of over 4 million just since 2000.
The fact that immigration has remained so high indicates that immigration
does not rise and fall in close step with the economy, as some have imagined.
The report, entitled Economy Slowed, But Immigration Didn't: The Foreign-born
Population 2000-2004, is available online at the Center's Web site: www.cis.org.
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- Among the findings:
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- * The 34.24 million immigrants (legal and illegal) now
living in the country is the highest number ever recorded in American history
and a 4.3-million increase since 2000.
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- * Of the 4.3 million growth, almost half, or 2 million,
is estimated to be from illegal immigration.
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- * In the data collected by the Census Bureau, there were
roughly 9 million illegal aliens. Prior research indicates that 10 percent
of illegal aliens are missed by the survey, suggesting a total illegal
population of about 10 million in March of this year.
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- * The same data also show that in the years between 2000
and 2004, nearly 6.1 million new immigrants (legal and illegal) arrived
from abroad. Arrivals are offset by deaths and return migration among immigrants
already here, so the total increased by 4.3 million.
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- * The 6.1 million new immigrants who arrived in the four
years since 2000 compares to 5.5 million new arrivals in the four years
prior to 2000, during the economic expansion.
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- * The pace of immigration is so surprising because unemployment
among immigrants increased from 4.4 to 6.1 percent, and the number of unemployed
immigrants grew by 43 percent.
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- * States with the largest increase in their immigrant
population were Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, New Jersey, Maryland, Washington,
Arizona, and Pennsylvania.
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- 'The idea that immigration is a self regulating process
that rises and falls in close step with the economy is simply wrong,' said
Steven Camarota, the report's author and the Center's Director of Research.
'Today, the primary sending countries are so much poorer than the United
States, even being unemployed in America is still sometimes better than
staying in one's home country.'
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- Other findings in the report:
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- * Unlike current immigration, evidence from the nineteenth
and early twentieth centuries indicates that economic downturns in the
United States did have a very significant impact on immigration levels.
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- * As a share of the nation's total population, immigrants
now account for nearly 12 percent, the highest percentage in over 80 years.
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- * Recent immigration has had no significant impact on
the nation's age structure. If the 6.1 million immigrants who arrived after
2000 had not come, the average age in America would be virtually unchanged
at 36 years.
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- * The diversity of the immigrant population continues
to decline, with the top country, Mexico, accounting for 31 percent of
all immigrants in 2004, up from 28 percent in 2000, 22 percent in 1990,
and 16 percent in 1980.
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- No Major Change in Policy After 9/11. It is important
to realize that there has been no major change in the selection criteria
used or numerical limits placed on legal immigration, even after September
11th. Moreover, immigration enforcement efforts have actually become more
lax in recent years. While visa applicants from some parts of the world
may have to wait a little longer for approval and a tiny number of illegal
aliens from selected countries may have been detained, this does not constitute
a major change in policy and has no meaningful impact on the number of
people settling in the United States.
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- Disconnect from Economy. The primary sending countries
today are much poorer relative to the United States than were the primary
sending countries in the past. The much higher standard of living in the
United States exists even during recessions. Moreover, people come to America
for many reasons, including to join family, to avoid social or legal obligations,
to take advantage of America's social services, and to enjoy greater personal
and political freedom. Thus even a prolonged economic downturn is unlikely
to have a large impact on immigration levels. If we want lower immigration
levels it would require enforcement of immigration laws and changes to
the legal immigration system.
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- Data Source: The information for the report comes from
the March Current Population Surveys (CPS) collected by the Census Bureau,
also called the Annual Social and Economic Supplement. The March data include
an extra-large sample of minorities and is considered one of the best sources
of information on immigrants, referred to as the foreign- born by the Census
Bureau. The foreign-born are defined as persons living here who were not
U.S. citizens at birth. Because all children born in the United States
to foreign born are by definition natives, the sole reason for the dramatic
increase in the foreign-born population is new immigration.
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