- Sunday 19 June 2005 - Americans, along with the rest
of the world, are starting to wake up to the uncomfortable fact that President
George Bush not only lied to them about the weapons of mass destruction
in Iraq (the ostensible excuse for the March 2003 invasion and occupation
of that country by US forces), but also about the very process that led
- On 16 October 2002, President Bush told the American
people that "I have not ordered the use of force. I hope that the
use of force will not become necessary."
- We know now that this statement was itself a lie, that
the president, by late August 2002, had, in fact, signed off on the 'execute'
orders authorising the US military to begin active military operations
inside Iraq, and that these orders were being implemented as early as September
2002, when the US Air Force, assisted by the British Royal Air Force, began
expanding its bombardment of targets inside and outside the so-called no-fly
zone in Iraq.
- These operations were designed to degrade Iraqi air defence
and command and control capabilities. They also paved the way for the insertion
of US Special Operations units, who were conducting strategic reconnaissance,
and later direct action, operations against specific targets inside Iraq,
prior to the 19 March 2003 commencement of hostilities.
- President Bush had signed a covert finding in late spring
2002, which authorised the CIA and US Special Operations forces to dispatch
clandestine units into Iraq for the purpose of removing Saddam Hussein
- The fact is that the Iraq war had begun by the beginning
of summer 2002, if not earlier.
- This timeline of events has ramifications that go beyond
historical trivia or political investigation into the events of the past.
- It represents a record of precedent on the part of the
Bush administration which must be acknowledged when considering the ongoing
events regarding US-Iran relations. As was the case with Iraq pre-March
2003, the Bush administration today speaks of "diplomacy" and
a desire for a "peaceful" resolution to the Iranian question.
- But the facts speak of another agenda, that of war and
the forceful removal of the theocratic regime, currently wielding the reigns
of power in Tehran.
- As with Iraq, the president has paved the way for the
conditioning of the American public and an all-too-compliant media to accept
at face value the merits of a regime change policy regarding Iran, linking
the regime of the Mullah's to an "axis of evil" (together with
the newly "liberated" Iraq and North Korea), and speaking of
the absolute requirement for the spread of "democracy" to the
- "Liberation" and the spread of "democracy"
have become none-too-subtle code words within the neo-conservative cabal
that formulates and executes American foreign policy today for militarism
- By the intensity of the "liberation/democracy"
rhetoric alone, Americans should be put on notice that Iran is well-fixed
in the cross-hairs as the next target for the illegal policy of regime
change being implemented by the Bush administration.
- But Americans, and indeed much of the rest of the world,
continue to be lulled into a false sense of complacency by the fact that
overt conventional military operations have not yet commenced between the
United States and Iran.
- As such, many hold out the false hope that an extension
of the current insanity in Iraq can be postponed or prevented in the case
of Iran. But this is a fool's dream.
- The reality is that the US war with Iran has already
begun. As we speak, American over flights of Iranian soil are taking place,
using pilotless drones and other, more sophisticated, capabilities.
- The violation of a sovereign nation's airspace is an
act of war in and of itself. But the war with Iran has gone far beyond
the intelligence-gathering phase.
- President Bush has taken advantage of the sweeping powers
granted to him in the aftermath of 11 September 2001, to wage a global
war against terror and to initiate several covert offensive operations
- The most visible of these is the CIA-backed actions recently
undertaken by the Mujahadeen el-Khalq, or MEK, an Iranian opposition group,
once run by Saddam Hussein's dreaded intelligence services, but now working
exclusively for the CIA's Directorate of Operations.
- It is bitter irony that the CIA is using a group still
labelled as a terrorist organisation, a group trained in the art of explosive
assassination by the same intelligence units of the former regime of Saddam
Hussein, who are slaughtering American soldiers in Iraq today, to carry
out remote bombings in Iran of the sort that the Bush administration condemns
on a daily basis inside Iraq.
- Perhaps the adage of "one man's freedom fighter
is another man's terrorist" has finally been embraced by the White
House, exposing as utter hypocrisy the entire underlying notions governing
the ongoing global war on terror.
- But the CIA-backed campaign of MEK terror bombings in
Iran are not the only action ongoing against Iran.
- To the north, in neighbouring Azerbaijan, the US military
is preparing a base of operations for a massive military presence that
will foretell a major land-based campaign designed to capture Tehran.
- Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld's interest in Azerbaijan
may have escaped the blinkered Western media, but Russia and the Caucasus
nations understand only too well that the die has been cast regarding Azerbaijan's
role in the upcoming war with Iran.
- The ethnic links between the Azeri of northern Iran and
Azerbaijan were long exploited by the Soviet Union during the Cold War,
and this vehicle for internal manipulation has been seized upon by CIA
paramilitary operatives and US Special Operations units who are training
with Azerbaijan forces to form special units capable of operating inside
Iran for the purpose of intelligence gathering, direct action, and mobilising
indigenous opposition to the Mullahs in Tehran.
- But this is only one use the US has planned for Azerbaijan.
American military aircraft, operating from forward bases in Azerbaijan,
will have a much shorter distance to fly when striking targets in and around
- In fact, US air power should be able to maintain a nearly
24-hour a day presence over Tehran airspace once military hostilities commence.
- No longer will the United States need to consider employment
of Cold War-dated plans which called for moving on Tehran from the Persian
Gulf cities of Chah Bahar and Bandar Abbas. US Marine Corps units will
be able to secure these towns in order to protect the vital Straits of
Hormuz, but the need to advance inland has been eliminated.
- A much shorter route to Tehran now exists - the coastal
highway running along the Caspian Sea from Azerbaijan to Tehran.
- US military planners have already begun war games calling
for the deployment of multi-divisional forces into Azerbaijan.
- Logistical planning is well advanced concerning the basing
of US air and ground power in Azerbaijan.
- Given the fact that the bulk of the logistical support
and command and control capability required to wage a war with Iran is
already forward deployed in the region thanks to the massive US presence
in Iraq, the build-up time for a war with Iran will be significantly reduced
compared to even the accelerated time tables witnessed with Iraq in 2002-2003.
- America and the Western nations continue to be fixated
on the ongoing tragedy and debacle that is Iraq. Much needed debate on
the reasoning behind the war with Iraq and the failed post-war occupation
of Iraq is finally starting to spring up in the United States and elsewhere.
- Normally, this would represent a good turn of events.
But with everyone's heads rooted in the events of the past, many are missing
out on the crime that is about to be repeated by the Bush administration
in Iran - an illegal war of aggression, based on false premise, carried
out with little regard to either the people of Iran or the United States.
- Most Americans, together with the mainstream American
media, are blind to the tell-tale signs of war, waiting, instead, for some
formal declaration of hostility, a made-for-TV moment such as was witnessed
on 19 March 2003.
- We now know that the war had started much earlier. Likewise,
history will show that the US-led war with Iran will not have begun once
a similar formal statement is offered by the Bush administration, but,
rather, had already been under way since June 2005, when the CIA began
its programme of MEK-executed terror bombings in Iran.
- Scott Ritter is a former UN weapons inspector in Iraq,
1991-1998, and author of Iraq Confidential: The Untold Story of America's
Intelligence Conspiracy, to be published by I B Tauris in October 2005.
- The opinions expressed here are the author's and do not
necessarily reflect the editorial position or have the endorsement of Aljazeera.