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Oil Soars To Record High

By Roma Luciw
The Globe and Mail
6-17-5
 
Oil prices shot up to a record high of $58.60 (U.S.) a barrel Friday, extending a week-long rally driven by what one analyst described as irrational fear that global demand is outpacing supply.
 
Crude oil for July delivery jumped on the New York Mercantile Exchange to the highest intraday level since futures began trading. At the close of trading, it was up $1.82 at $58.40 a barrel. Prices have risen 7 per cent this week and are 49 per cent higher than they were a year ago.
 
The crude rally began earlier this week after an unexpected drop in U.S. gasoline inventories led to worries about tight supplies from refinery glitches during the summer driving season.
 
"This market is being driven by fear of what can happen," said Citigroup analyst Kyle Cooper in Houston. "I am trying to find a fundamental reason for today's rise, but there is none. This is one of the most bearish markets we have seen in years, yet prices are at record highs."
 
On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Department said crude supplies fell 1.8 million barrels in the week ended June 10. At 329 million barrels, however, inventories are well above the upper end of the average range for this time of year.
 
The report said gasoline inventories slipped by 900,000 barrels to 215.7 million barrels, or 5 per cent higher than a year ago. Demand for motor gasoline in the U.S. has averaged nearly 9.5 million barrels a day over the last four weeks, or 3 per cent above the same period last year.
 
"U.S. refineries are currently running at 96 to 97 per cent utilization," said Victor Shum, energy analyst at Texas-based Purvin & Getz in Singapore. "Any refinery problems anywhere will have an impact on product supply. This refinery capacity tightness is supporting the upward trend in prices."
 
According to Mr. Cooper, inventories in the U.S. are at near-record highs when one looks at overall stocks. "Nobody mentions the fact that U.S. oil production is above where it was a year ago."
 
Heating oil climbed over 2 cents to $1.6493 a gallon Friday, while unleaded gasoline rose 2 cents to $1.6165 a gallon.
 
OPEC failed to soothe the market earlier this week when it agreed to raise its daily output quota to 28 million barrels a day because its members had already been unofficially exceeding that level. Including Iraq, which is not bound by the cartel's quota system, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is pumping close to 30 million barrels a day, or about 35 percent of global demand.
 
OPEC said it would consider another 500,000-barrel-per-day increase if prices don't fall.
 
"Despite the OPEC production news, crude hit a two-month high Thursday - who would have ever thought the cartel would be producing 28 million barrels a day and we'd be taking about $56 a barrel oil," David Rosenberg, chief North American economist for Merrill Lynch, said in a morning note on Friday.
 
- With files from wires.
 
© Copyright 2005 Bell Globemedia Publishing Inc. All Rights Reserved.
 
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.
20050617.woiltwo0617/BNStory/Business/

 

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