- Well, it's happened, and it's no surprise.
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- Barack Obama, the prospective Democratic presidential
candidate, has managed to turn a 5-8 point lead over prospective Republican
opponent John McCain into a 7-point deficit-a double-digit slide-in just
two and a half months following a campaign that had voters really excited
over his candidacy.
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- How did he manage this feat (which is documented in the
latest latest Reuters/Zogby poll)?
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- Simple: he followed the tried-and-true strategy of Democratic
centrist advisers who have increasingly dominated his campaign since the
end of the primaries, and who have a proven track record of producing Democratic
electoral disasters now for several decades.
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- Like John Kerry and Al Gore before him, Obama, who ran
his primary campaign as a liberal, staking out an anti-war position, has
morphed over recent weeks into a Republican-lite candidate, calling for
a hard line against Palestinian rights, threatening to attack Iran, calling
for an expansion of the disastrous war in Afghanistan, and backing away
from genuine health care reform and other important progressive goals here
at home.
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- One might think that after watching Democratic candidates
lose the last two presidential elections by following exactly this kind
of "strategy," if it can be called that, Obama and his campaign
managers would have decided to try something different, but it appears
that the Democratic Party at the top is hopelessly in the grip of corporate
interests that favor war, free-market nostrums and corporate welfare. (Okay,
I know Gore really won the 2000 election, but he should have won it so
convincingly-for example taking New Hampshire and his home state of Tennessee-that
the election couldn't have been stolen. And Kerry, similarly, should not
have had his race determined by a close vote in economically distressed
Ohio, which should have been his by a blowout.)
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- Obama got where he is-the first African-American major
party nominee and the first black candidate with a real shot at winning
the White House-by appealing to the Democratic Party's liberal base. Now
Zogby reports that Obama's support among liberals has plunged 12 percent.
That's liberals folks!
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- I count myself among those on the left who have turned
away from this fast-talking eel of a candidate.
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- It's not a matter of turning to McCain, who is if anything
more dangerous than President Bush because of his fondness for war and
his evident lack of any kind of principles, not to mention his personal
greed.
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- But how can I or any progressive vote for a presidential
candidate who goes from opposing a war to saying he not only supports the
idea of keeping troops in Iraq for another five years-the length of the
entire WWII!-but who further says he won't rule out attacking Iran, even
if that country poses no imminent threat to the US, simply because it develops
nuclear weapons-the same weapons that our putative friends, Pakistan and
India, have? How can I vote for a candidate who wants to expand the military
(by 65,000 troops) instead of shrinking this huge, bloodsucking parasite
of an organization which is costing as much as the rest of the world spends
on its armies?
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- How can I or any progressive vote for a presidential
candidate who cannot state categorically that he will defend the Constitution
by reversing all of President Bush's abuses of power and who will not promise
to prosecute the president and members of his administration for any crimes
committed while in office?
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- If you look at Obama's vaunted website, and check out
his positions on the big issues of healthcare, education, the economy,
labor, social security, etc., you can see he's pretty good on most things
(okay, his health care "reform" is a loser and will never fly.
He should be calling for a nationally-run insurance system modeled on Medicare
and paid for by the government). The problem is that there has been a deliberate
effort to soft-pedal all of it, while backpedaling on his position on the
Iraq War. It's almost as if he and his campaign think the "smart"
progressives will go to his website and be satisfied with his online positions,
while the "dumb" unaffiliated voters will not go there and will
just base their votes on his gauzy image TV ads. (More importantly, if
he can go from anti-war to pro-war, what's to say he won't backpedal in
office on the rest of his positions, especially if he won't highlight and
defend them vigorously on the campaign trail?)
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- There has clearly been a decision made in the Obama campaign
to soft-pedal liberal positions and to make Obama appear "safe"
and uncontroversial.
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- The result has been his precipitous slide in the polls.
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- That's not the worst of it, either. Obama is not just
losing liberals in droves. Many liberals, after all, will in the end return
and vote for grudgingly for Obama, though they probably won't volunteer
to do any of the critical campaign work registering voters, promoting his
candidacy or getting people to the polls. The worst part is that by becoming
just another middle-of-the-road, namby-pamby, Republican-lite clone of
Kerry circa 2004 and Gore circa 2000, Obama is losing the young and also
the disaffected, unaffiliated voters who were flocking to his campaign
during the primaries. This group of erstwhile enthusiasts is down 12 percent,
too. And it's those people-particularly the unaffiliated voters--who are
raising McCain's numbers. The Zogby poll reports that McCain's support
among younger voters has reached 40 percent-not that much below Obama's
52 percent.
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- There is probably still time to turn this electoral debacle
in the making around. Obama needs to come out unambiguously for a quick
end to the war in Iraq. He needs to do an about face on his call for an
expansion of the war in Afghanistan. He needs to flatly rule out preemptive
war as a policy for the United States of America, unless the country is
in danger of imminent attack. He needs to scotch plans for expanding the
military, and instead to start talking about how to reduce military spending,
so that those funds can be shifted to domestic priorities like improving
education and dramatically increasing research into carbon-free energy
production. He needs to call for a national healthcare system that will
provide quality, affordable medical care for all, and he needs to call
for an aggressive campaign to combat joblessness and to reduce income disparity
within the US.
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- Do that, and we will see an Obama presidency and a Democratic
sweep of both houses of Congress.
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- Continue with the present losing strategy, and we will
see John McCain as president, and the continuation of a weak, compromised,
sell-out Democratic Congress for at least the next four years.
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- Now as sympathetic as I am to the politics espoused by
Ralph Nader and by the Green Party, I'm well aware of the futility of Third
Party campaigns. Even so, count me as one progressive who at this point
has stopped supporting Obama.
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- DAVE LINDORFF is a Philadelphia-based journalist and
columnist. His latest book is "The Case for Impeachment" (St.
Martin's Press, 2006). His work is available at <http://www.thiscantbehappening.net/>www.thiscantbehappening.net
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