SIGHTINGS



Huge Unseen Planet
Proposed Circling Our
Sun - Nibiru?
By Alan Boyle
http://www.msnbc.com/news/320182.asp
10-7-99
 
 
Two teams of researchers have proposed the existence of an unseen planet or a failed star circling the sun at a distance of more than 2 trillion miles, far beyond the orbits of the nine known planets. The theory, which seeks to explain patterns in comets' paths, has been put forward in research accepted for publication in two separate journals.
 
Speculation about the existence of unseen celestial companions dates back far before the discovery of Pluto in 1929 - and even figures in more recent fringe phenomena such as the 1997 "Heaven's Gate" tragedy and talk of a new "Planet X." This latest hypothesis, however, is aimed at answering nagging scientific questions about how particular types of comets make their way into the inner solar system.
 
Some comets, like Halley's Comet, follow relatively short-period orbits - circling the sun in less than two hundred years. These comets are thought to originate in the Kuiper Belt, a disk of cosmic debris that lies beyond Neptune's orbit.
 
The best way to think of the distances involved is in terms of Astronomical Units. One AU is the distance from Earth to the sun (93 million miles or 149.6 million kilometers). Pluto, the most distant of the planets, is at 39 AU. The Kuiper Belt extends from 30 AU to perhaps 1,000 AU.
 
Even further out is the Oort Cloud, a spherical haze of comets surrounding the solar system at distances between 10,000 AU and more than 50,000 AU. That's where long-period comets such as Hale-Bopp are thought to come from. For some time, astronomers have noticed that the directional patterns of these comets are not completely random. And after years of study, some researchers are reporting that the patterns hint at something big out there perturbing the cometary paths.
 
No telescope has yet detected this object. But on the basis of its gravitational effect, John B. Murray, a planetary scientist at Britain's Open University, speculates that the object could be a planet larger than Jupiter, the biggest of the solar system's known planets. Murray puts the object's orbit at 32,000 AU, or 2.98 trillion miles from the sun. Murray's proposal appears in the Oct. 11 issue of the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.
 
Meanwhile, researchers at the University of Louisiana at Lafayette say the object could be a planet or brown dwarf - that is, a dark, failed star - roughly three times the size of Jupiter and orbiting at 25,000 AU. The researchers, led by physicist John Matese, say their paper has been accepted for publication by the journal Icarus.
 
Both studies acknowledge that other factors could influence the pattern seen in long-period comets: for example, the Oort Cloud's interactions with passing molecular cloudsor the Milky Way's gravitational tidal effects. But the Louisiana researchers say the cometary patterns are best explained by the existence of "a perturber, acting in concert with the galactic tide."
 
MORE QUESTIONS
 
How could such a massive object exist so far from the sun? The researchers say it could have coalesced during the formation of the solar system billions of years ago, or it might have been a passing celestial body captured by the sun's subtle gravitational pull.
 
Another question: Why hasn't it been seen? Murray says that even a Jupiter-scale planet could not be observed at the immense distances involved. Matese and his colleagues say that their hypothetical brown dwarf wouldn't have been detected even by the Infrared Astronomical Satellite, which surveyed the heavens in 1983 - but that the yet-to-be-launched Space Infrared Telescope Facility just might be able to pick it up.
 
All this may sound like science fiction, but an expert in the field says the hypothesis makes scientific sense.
 
"We've all wondered whether there was something out there," said Brian Marsden, who heads the International Astronomical Union's Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams as well as the Minor Planet Center at the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory.
 
He said Wednesday that he wasn't familiar with Murray's research, but noted that Matese "has been working on this sort of thing for several years, so it's
reasonable that he would come up with something like this."
 
If the latest research holds up, it could open the door for renewed speculation on even spookier questions: Some theorists have proposed that the gravitational effect of such a massive object - nicknamed "Nemesis" or the "Death Star" - could set off periodic cometary storms, which would increase the chances of a catastrophic impact with Earth. Indeed, Matese and fellow researcher Daniel Whitmire, who is a co-author of the new research, laid out just such a scenario in 1985 to explain mass extinctions on Earth, such as the demise of the dinosaurs.
 
An earlier version of this story misstated the conversion from Astronomical Units to miles.





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